Social Sciences: Social Statistics & Demography

James Raymer

PhD

Primary position:
Professor in Demography

Background

I joined the University in 2004 after completing my PhD in the Department of Geography at the University of Colorado at Boulder in the United States.

Dr James Raymer's photo

Publications

The University of Southampton's electronic library (e-prints)

Article

Raymer, James, Abel, Guy J. and Rogers, Andrei (2012) Does specification matter? Experiments with simple multiregional probabilistic population projections. Environment and Planning A (In Press).
DeWaard, Jack, Kim, Keuntae and Raymer, James (2012) Migration systems in Europe: Evidence from harmonized flow data. Demography, 49, (4), 1307-1333.
DeWaard, Jack and Raymer, James (2012) The temporal dynamics of international migration in Europe: Recent trends. Demographic Research, 26, 543-592.
Raymer, James, Smith, Peter W.F. and Giulietti, Corrado (2011) Combining census and registration data to analyse ethnic migration patterns in England from 1991 to 2007. Population, Space and Place, 17, 73-88. (doi:10.1002/psp.565).
Raymer, James, de Beer, Joop and van der Erf, Rob (2011) Putting the pieces of the puzzle together: Age and sex-specific estimates of migration amongst countries in the EU/EFTA, 2002-2007. European Journal of Population, 27, (2), 185-215. (doi:10.1007/s10680-011-9230-5).
Abel, Guy J., Bijak, Jakub and Raymer, James (2010) A comparison of official population projections with Bayesian time series forecasts for England and Wales. Population Trends, 141, (Autumn), 95-114. (PMID:20927031).
Smith, Peter W.F., Raymer, James and Giulietti, Corrado (2010) Combining available migration data in England to study economic activity flows over time. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), 173, (4), 733-753. (doi:10.1111/j.1467-985X.2009.00630.x).
de Beer, Joop, Raymer, James, van der Erf, Rob and van Wissen, Leo (2010) Overcoming the problems of inconsistent international migration data: a new method applied to flows in Europe. European Journal of Population, 26, (4), 459-481.
Raymer, James and Giulietti, Corrado (2009) Ethnic migration between area groups in England and Wales. Area, 41, (4), 435-451. (doi:10.1111/j.1475-4762.2009.00884.x).
Raymer, James, Abel, Guy and Smith, Peter W. F. (2007) Combining census and registration data to estimate detailed elderly migration flows in England and Wales. Journal of Royal Statistical Society (Series A), 170, (4), 891-908. (doi:10.1111/j.1467-985X.2007.00490.x).
Raymer, James, Abel, Guy and Smith, Peter W.F. (2007) Combining census and registration data to estimate detailed elderly migration flows in England and Wales. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), 170, (4), 891-908. (doi:10.1111/j.1467-985X.2007.00490.x).
Raymer, James and Rogers, Andrei (2007) Using age and spatial flow structures in the indirect estimation of migration streams. Demography, 44, (2), 199-223. (doi:10.1353/dem.2007.0016).
Raymer, James (2007) The estimation of international migration flows: A general technique focused on the origin-destination association structure. Environment and Planning A, 39, (4), 985-995. (doi:10.1068/a38264).
Raymer, James, Bonaguidi, Alberto and Valentini, Alessandro (2006) Describing and projecting the age and spatial structures of interregional migration in Italy. Population, Space and Place, 12, (5), 371-388. (doi:10.1002/psp.414).
Rogers, Andrei and Raymer, James (2005) Origin dependence, secondary migration, and the indirect estimation of migration flows from population stocks. Journal of Population Research, 22, (1), 1-19.
Rogers, Andrei, Raymer, James and Newbold, K. Bruce (2003) Reconciling and translating migration data collected over time intervals of different widths. The Annals of Regional Science, 37, (4), 581-601. (doi:10.1007/s00168-003-0128-y).
Rogers, Andrei, Willekens, Frans and Raymer, James (2003) Imposing age and spatial structures on inadequate migration flow data sets. The Professional Geographer, 55, (1), 56-69. (doi:10.1111/0033-0124.01052).
Rogers, Andrei, Raymer, James and Willekens, Frans (2002) Capturing the age and spatial structures of migration. Environment and Planning A, 34, (2), 341-359.
Rogers, Andrei, Willekens, Frans, Little, Jani and Raymer, James (2002) Describing migration spatial structure. Papers in Regional Science, 81, (1), 29-48. (doi:10.1111/j.1435-5597.2002.tb01220.x).
Rogers, Andrei and Raymer, James (2001) Immigration and the regional demographics of the elderly population in the United States. Journal of Gerontology: Social Sciences, 56B, (1), S44-S55.
Rogers, Andrei, Willekens, Frans and Raymer, James (2001) Modeling interregional migration flows: continuity and change. Mathematical Population Studies, 9, 231-263.
Rogers, Andrei and Raymer, James (1999) The regional demographics of the elderly foreign-born and native-born populations in the United States since 1950. Research on Aging, 21, (1), 3-35. (doi:10.1177/0164027599211001).
Rogers, Andrei and Raymer, James (1999) Estimating the regional migration patterns of the foreign-born population in the United States: 1950-1990. Mathematical Population Studies, 7, (3), 181-216.
Rogers, Andrei and Raymer, James (1999) Fitting observed demographic rates with the multiexponential model schedule: An assessment of two estimation programs. Review of Urban and Regional Development Studies, 11, (1), 1-10. (doi:10.1111/1467-940X.00001).
Rogers, Andrei, Little, Jani and Raymer, James (1999) Disaggregating the historical demographic sources of regional foreign-born and native-born population growth in the United States: A new method with applications. International Journal of Population Geography, 5, (6), 449-475.
Rogers, Andrei and Raymer, James (1998) The spatial focus of US interstate migration flows. International Journal of Population Geography, 4, (1), 63-80.

Book

Salzmann, Thomas, Edmonston, Barry and Raymer, James (2010) Demographic aspects of migration, Wiesbaden, Germany, VS Verlag
Rogers, A., Little, J. and Raymer, J. (2010) The indirect estimation of migration: Methods for dealing with irregular, inadequate, and missing data, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, Springer (Springer series on demographic methods and population analysis).
Raymer, James and Wiilekens, Frans (eds.) (2008) International migration in Europe: Data, models and estimates, Chichester, UK, Wiley

Book Section

Raymer, James and Giulietti, Corrado (2010) Analysing structures of interregional migration in England. In, Stillwell, John, Duke-Williams, Oliver and Dennett, Adam (eds.) Technologies for migration and commuting analysis: Spatial interaction data applications. Hershey, US, IGI Global, 280-293.
Raymer, James (2008) Obtaining an overall picture of population movement in the European Union. In, Raymer, James and Wiilekens, Frans (eds.) International Migration in Europe: Data, Models and Estimates. Chichester, UK, Wiley, 209-234.
Raymer, James and Rogers, Andrei (2008) Applying model migration schedules to represent age-specific migration flows. In, Raymer, James and Willekens, Frans (eds.) International Migration in Europe: Data, Models and Estimates. Chichester, UK, Wiley, 175-192.

Monograph

Waller, Lorraine, Berrington, Ann and Raymer, James (2012) Understanding recent migrant fertility in the United Kingdom. Southampton, GB, University of Southampton (Centre for Population Change Working Paper, 27).
Raymer, James, Abel, Guy J., Disney, G and Wisniowski, Arkadiusz (2011) Improving estimates of migration flows to Eurostat. Southampton, GB, ESRC Centre for Population Change (Centre for Population Change Working Paper, 15).
Raymer, James, Abel, Guy J. and Rogers, Andrei (2011) Does specification matter? Experiments with simple multiregional probabilistic population projections. , ESRC Centre for Population Change, 42pp. (Centre for Population Change Working Paper, 13).
Abel, Guy J., Bijak, Jakub, Forster, Jonathan J., Raymer, James and Smith, Peter W.F. (2010) What do Bayesian methods offer population forecasters? , UK, ESRC Centre for Population Change (ESRC Centre for Population Change Working Paper , 6).
Abel, Guy J., Bijak, Jakub, Forster, Jonathan J., Raymer, James and Smith, Peter W.F. (2010) Bayesian population forecasts for England and Wales. , Statistical Office of the European Union (EUROSTAT) (Joint Eurostat/UNECE Work Session on Demographic Projections, WP37).
Abel, Guy J., Bijak, Jakub and Raymer, James (2010) A comparison of official population projections with Bayesian time series forecasts for England and Wales. Southampton, GB, ESRC Centre for Population Change (Centre for Population Change Working Paper, 7).
Raymer, James, Giulietti, Corrado and Goodwin-White, Jamie (2008) White and Non-White Migration between Area Groups in England and Wales. Southampton, UK, Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute, 21pp. (S3RI Applications & Policy Working Papers, (A08/02) ).
Raymer, J. and Abel, G. (2008) The MIMOSA model for estimating international migration flows in the European Union. Geneva, Switzerland, UNECE / Eurostat, 13pp. ( UNECE/Eurostat work session on migration statistics Working papers, (8) ).
Raymer, James and Rogers, Andrei (2007) The American Community Survey's Interstate Migration Data: Strategies for Smoothing Irregular Age Patterns. Southampton, UK, Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute, 18pp. (S3RI Methodology Working Papers, (M07/13) ).
Raymer, James and Rogers, Andrei (2005) Using Age and Spatial Flow Structures in the Indirect Estimation of Migration Streams. Southampton, UK, Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute, 36pp. (S3RI Applications and Policy Working Papers, (A05/07) ).
Raymer, James, Bonaguidi, Alberto and Valentini, Alessandro (2005) Describing and projecting the age and spatial structures of interregional migration in Italy. Southampton, UK, Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute, 43pp. (S3RI Applications and Policy Working Papers, (A05/06) ).
Raymer, James (2004) The Estimation of Place-to-Place Migration Flows Using an Alternative Log-Linear Parameter Coding Scheme. Southampton, UK, Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute, 38pp. (S3RI Methodology Working Papers, (M04/12) ).
 

Research

Research Interests

My main research interests are migration and population modelling in the context of inadequate or missing data. I currently lead the dynamic population modelling theme within the ESRC Research Centre for Population Change.

Other projects I have led:

Conceptual framework for UK population and migration statistics, commissioned by the Office for National Statistics, May 2011-March 2012.

Improving estimates of migration flows for Eurostat, commissioned by the Office for National Statistics, January-March 2011.

IMEM: Integrated Modelling of European Migration, funded by the New Opportunities for Research Funding Agency Co-operation in Europe (NORFACE), November 2009-April 2012.

Combining migration data in England and Wales, funded by the Economic & Social Research Council (ESRC), February 2008-July 2009.

Other projects:

The Care Life Cycle: Responding to the health and social care needs of an ageing society project, funded by Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC), January 2010-December 2014.

MIMOSA: MIgration MOdelling for Statistical Analyses, coordinated by the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Instituted (NIDI) and funded by the European Commission / Eurostat, January 2007-December 2009.

Responsibilities

BSc Population Sciences Coordinator, 2007-2010

Teaching Responsibilities

I currently teach the Population Analysis II module in the BSc Population Sciences programme and the Population Projections module in the MSc Demography programme. In the past, I have taught modules on Migration, Introduction to Demographic Methods and Population and the Environment.

My current PhD students are Neil Bailey, George Disney, Rebecca Newell, and Dilek Yildez.

Contact

Dr James Raymer
Social Statistics & Demography
Social Sciences
University of Southampton
Southampton
SO17 1BJ
United Kingdom

Room Number: 58/3029

Telephone: (023) 8059 2935
Email: J.Raymer@soton.ac.uk