<?xml version='1.0' encoding='UTF-8'?>
<rss encoding="UTF-8" version="2.0">
<channel>
<title>Seminars economics</title>
<generator>Interwoven LiveSite</generator>
<link>https://www.southampton.ac.uk/economics/news/seminars/latest.page</link><description>Seminars from Economics</description><item><title>Departmental Seminar (Applied Economics)</title><image><url>https://cdn.southampton.ac.uk</url></image><link>https://www.southampton.ac.uk/economics/news/seminars/2020/06/03-departmental-seminar-applied-economics.page</link><pubDate>Wed, 03 Jun 2020 00:00:00 +0100</pubDate><description>
      [16:00 - 17:15, 3 June 2020]
      Ghazala Azmat (Paris School of Economics) will present her current research. The title of her talk will be announced a few days in advance.</description></item><item><title>Departmental Seminar (Applied Economics)</title><image><url>https://cdn.southampton.ac.uk</url></image><link>https://www.southampton.ac.uk/economics/news/seminars/2020/05/27-departmental-seminar-applied-economics.page</link><pubDate>Wed, 27 May 2020 00:00:00 +0100</pubDate><description>
      [16:00 - 17:15, 27 May 2020]
      Noam Yuchtman (London School of Economics) will present his current research. The title of his talk will be announced a few days in advance. </description></item><item><title>Departmental Seminar (Applied Economics)</title><image><url>https://cdn.southampton.ac.uk</url></image><link>https://www.southampton.ac.uk/economics/news/seminars/2020/05/20-departmental-seminar-applied-economics.page</link><pubDate>Wed, 20 May 2020 00:00:00 +0100</pubDate><description>
      [16:00 - 17:15, 20 May 2020]
      Semih Tumen (TED University) will present his current research. The title of his talk will be announced a few days in advance.</description></item><item><title>Departmental Seminar (Microeconomics)</title><image><url>https://cdn.southampton.ac.uk</url></image><link>https://www.southampton.ac.uk/economics/news/seminars/2020/04/22-departmental-seminar-microeconomics.page</link><pubDate>Wed, 22 Apr 2020 00:00:00 +0100</pubDate><description>
      [16:00 - 17:15, 22 April 2020]
      Michael Richter (Royal Holloway, University of London) will present his current research. The title of his talk will be announced a few days in advance.</description></item><item><title>Departmental Seminar (Applied Economics)</title><image><url>https://cdn.southampton.ac.uk</url></image><link>https://www.southampton.ac.uk/economics/news/seminars/2020/03/18-departmental-seminar-applied-economics.page</link><pubDate>Wed, 18 Mar 2020 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>
      [16:00 - 17:15, 18 March 2020]
      Arnaud Chevalier (Royal Holloway, University of London) will present his current research. The title of his talk will be announced a few days in advance. </description></item><item><title>Departmental Seminar (Microeconomics)</title><image><url>https://cdn.southampton.ac.uk</url></image><link>https://www.southampton.ac.uk/economics/news/seminars/2020/03/11-departmental-seminar-microeconomics.page</link><pubDate>Wed, 11 Mar 2020 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>
      [16:00 - 17:15, 11 March 2020]
      Friederike Mengel (University of Essex) will present her current research. The title of her talk will be announced a few days in advance. </description></item><item><title>Departmental Seminar (Macroeconomics)</title><image><url>https://cdn.southampton.ac.uk</url></image><link>https://www.southampton.ac.uk/economics/news/seminars/2020/03/04-departmental-seminar-macroeconomics.page</link><pubDate>Wed, 04 Mar 2020 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>
      [16:00 - 17:15, 4 March 2020]
      Franck Portier (University College London) will present his current research. The title of his talk will be announced a few days in advance.</description></item><item><title>Departmental Seminar (Applied Economics)</title><image><url>https://cdn.southampton.ac.uk</url></image><link>https://www.southampton.ac.uk/economics/news/seminars/2020/02/26-departmental-seminar-applied-economics.page</link><pubDate>Wed, 26 Feb 2020 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>
      [16:00 - 17:15, 26 February 2020]
      Thiemo Fetzer (University of Warwick) will present his current research. The title of his talk will be announced a few days in advance.</description></item><item><title>Departmental Seminar (Microeconomics)</title><image><url>https://cdn.southampton.ac.uk</url></image><link>https://www.southampton.ac.uk/economics/news/seminars/2020/02/19-departmental-seminar-microeconomics.page</link><pubDate>Wed, 19 Feb 2020 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>
      [16:00 - 17:15, 19 February 2020]
      Stefan Buehler (University of St Gallen) will present his current research. The title of his talk will be announced a few days in advance </description></item><item><title>Departmental Seminar (Macroeconomics)</title><image><url>https://cdn.southampton.ac.uk</url></image><link>https://www.southampton.ac.uk/economics/news/seminars/2020/02/12-departmental-seminar-macroeconomics.page</link><pubDate>Wed, 12 Feb 2020 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>
      [16:00 - 17:15, 12 February 2020]
      Antonia Díaz (Universidad Carlos 3 de Madrid) will present her current research. The title of her talk will be announced a few days in advance.</description></item><item><title>Getting In and Getting Through: Ex Ante Beliefs and Counterfactual Outcomes in Centralized College Admissions (joint work with Edwin Leuven&amp;amp;comma; University of Oslo)</title><h1>Getting In and Getting Through: Ex Ante Beliefs and Counterfactual Outcomes in Centralized College Admissions (joint work with Edwin Leuven&amp;amp;comma; University of Oslo)</h1><pub_date>Fri, 17 Apr 2026 11:29:00 +0000</pub_date><content>
&lt;p&gt;This paper studies belief accuracy in a centralized higher‑education admissions system using Norwegian data that combine a large pre‑admission expectations survey with administrative records on offers&amp;comma; enrollment&amp;comma; and completion. Exploiting program‑specific admission cutoffs within a fuzzy regression discontinuity design&amp;comma; the authors compare applicants&amp;rsquo; subjective beliefs with objective counterfactual outcomes at the admission margin. The results show that enrollment forecast errors are mainly driven by mistaken beliefs about offer probabilities&amp;comma; while beliefs about enrollment conditional on an offer are relatively accurate. For completion outcomes&amp;comma; applicants display substantial persistence optimism&amp;comma; overestimating completion conditional on enrollment under both access states. These belief errors have economically meaningful implications for choices and rankings of study programs.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;For further details&amp;comma; please consult the department website (&lt;a aria-label='Link Economics Seminars&amp;comma; UoS' href='https://sites.google.com/view/sotoneconomicseminars' id='menurqs' rel='noreferrer noopener' target='_blank' title='https://sites.google.com/view/sotoneconomicseminars'&gt;Economics Seminars&amp;comma; UoS&lt;/a&gt;) or contact &lt;strong&gt;Dr Chaowen Zheng&lt;/strong&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
</content><content_snippet>The Economics Department is pleased to host Prof. Pamela Giustinelli (University of Padova) for a departmental research seminar on Wednesday 22 April 2026&amp;amp;comma; from 14:00 to 15:00&amp;amp;comma; in Room 54/7035. The seminar will also be available online.</content_snippet><img>https://leaf.soton.ac.uk/static/uploads/unnamed-(1).png<image><url>https://leaf.soton.ac.uk/static/uploads/unnamed-(1).png</url></image></img><extra_content>Department Seminar: Prof. Pamela Giustinelli (University of Padova)</extra_content><folder>economics/news</folder><guid>https://www.southampton.ac.uk/economics/news/2026/04/getting-in-and-getting-through-ex-ante-beliefs-and-counterfactual-outcomes-in-centralized-college-admissions-joint-work-with-edwin-leuven-university-of-oslo.page</guid><link>https://www.southampton.ac.uk/economics/news/2026/04/getting-in-and-getting-through-ex-ante-beliefs-and-counterfactual-outcomes-in-centralized-college-admissions-joint-work-with-edwin-leuven-university-of-oslo.page</link><title>Getting In and Getting Through: Ex Ante Beliefs and Counterfactual Outcomes in Centralized College Admissions (joint work with Edwin Leuven&amp;amp;comma; University of Oslo)</title><h1>Getting In and Getting Through: Ex Ante Beliefs and Counterfactual Outcomes in Centralized College Admissions (joint work with Edwin Leuven&amp;amp;comma; University of Oslo)</h1><pub_date>Fri, 17 Apr 2026 11:29:00 +0000</pub_date><content>
&lt;p&gt;This paper studies belief accuracy in a centralized higher‑education admissions system using Norwegian data that combine a large pre‑admission expectations survey with administrative records on offers&amp;comma; enrollment&amp;comma; and completion. Exploiting program‑specific admission cutoffs within a fuzzy regression discontinuity design&amp;comma; the authors compare applicants&amp;rsquo; subjective beliefs with objective counterfactual outcomes at the admission margin. The results show that enrollment forecast errors are mainly driven by mistaken beliefs about offer probabilities&amp;comma; while beliefs about enrollment conditional on an offer are relatively accurate. For completion outcomes&amp;comma; applicants display substantial persistence optimism&amp;comma; overestimating completion conditional on enrollment under both access states. These belief errors have economically meaningful implications for choices and rankings of study programs.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;For further details&amp;comma; please consult the department website (&lt;a aria-label='Link Economics Seminars&amp;comma; UoS' href='https://sites.google.com/view/sotoneconomicseminars' id='menurqs' rel='noreferrer noopener' target='_blank' title='https://sites.google.com/view/sotoneconomicseminars'&gt;Economics Seminars&amp;comma; UoS&lt;/a&gt;) or contact &lt;strong&gt;Dr Chaowen Zheng&lt;/strong&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
</content><content_snippet>The Economics Department is pleased to host Prof. Pamela Giustinelli (University of Padova) for a departmental research seminar on Wednesday 22 April 2026&amp;amp;comma; from 14:00 to 15:00&amp;amp;comma; in Room 54/7035. The seminar will also be available online.</content_snippet><img>https://leaf.soton.ac.uk/static/uploads/unnamed-(1).png<image><url>https://leaf.soton.ac.uk/static/uploads/unnamed-(1).png</url></image></img><extra_content>Department Seminar: Prof. Pamela Giustinelli (University of Padova)</extra_content><folder>economics/news</folder><guid>https://www.southampton.ac.uk/economics/news/2026/04/getting-in-and-getting-through-ex-ante-beliefs-and-counterfactual-outcomes-in-centralized-college-admissions-joint-work-with-edwin-leuven-university-of-oslo.page</guid><link>https://www.southampton.ac.uk/economics/news/2026/04/getting-in-and-getting-through-ex-ante-beliefs-and-counterfactual-outcomes-in-centralized-college-admissions-joint-work-with-edwin-leuven-university-of-oslo.page</link></item></channel>
</rss>