Complex socio-ecological systems research theme meeting on 'Modelling time-series' Seminar

Modelling time-series An informal meeting for those interested in discussing different approaches to modelling time-series ¬ - statistical, monitored, palaeo data. The meeting is prompted by recent research in Geography and Environment where we have applied different techniques to palaeoecological data in order to answer three types of questions:

• Do my data show a critical transition, threshold, tipping point, step change ¬ in other words a statistically significant (phase) shift from one state to another?
• Can my response time series (eg. vegetation change) be explained as a complex response to multiple drivers (e.g. climate and human activity)?
• Can my response time-series be used to forecast the recent future based on the structure of the existing time-series (e.g. moving average, cyclicity)?

All staff and PGRs are welcome to contribute to discussions - expert and non-experts.

Please register for the meeting by contacting the Sustainability Science at Southampton research co-ordinator Alison Simmance: a.simmance@southampton.ac.uk