Disability-free life expectancy and need for care: past, present and future Event

This seminar will describe a new microsimulation model, MicSIMPOP, being developed as part of an NIHR-ESRC project ‘Modelling outcome and cost impacts of interventions for dementia (MODEM). The aims of MicSIMPOP are to model (a) the health and associated care needs of the English population over the next decades; (b) the impact of interventions for risk factor reduction, disease prevention and treatments that slow down progression to disease and disability; and (c) the potential for compression of disability through estimation of trends in disability-free life expectancy. As background to the new model, results from an earlier macrosimulation model SIMPOP will be presented as well as new results on trends in healthy life expectancy from the Cognitive Function and Ageing Studies which form the basis of both models.