Mr Toby Prike

Visiting Fellow

Toby Prike is a Senior Research Assistant at the University of Southampton. He is working on the Bayesian Agent-based Population Studies (BAPS) project, focusing on the decision-making process.

He recently submitted his PhD in Psychology (Cognition) at Flinders University, Australia. His PhD research examined the relationship between non-evidence based beliefs, probabilistic reasoning, and cognitive bias.

Publications

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Articles

Prike, T., Bijak, J., Higham, P., & Hilton, J. (Accepted/In press). How safe is this trip? Judging personal safety in a pandemic based on information from different sources. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied. https://doi.org/10.1037/xap0000415
Czaika, M., Bijak, J., & Prike, T. (2021). Migration decision-making and its key dimensions. The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 697(1), 15-31. https://doi.org/10.1177/00027162211052233
Prike, T., Arnold, M. M., & Williamson, P. (2019). The relationship between anomalistic belief, misperception of chance and the base rate fallacy. Thinking and Reasoning, 1-32. https://doi.org/10.1080/13546783.2019.1653371

Book

Bijak, J., Higham, P., Hilton, J., Hinsch, M., Nurse, S., Prike, T., Reinhardt, O., Smith, P. W. F., Uhrmacher, A. M., & Warnke, T. (Accepted/In press). Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography: Agency, Complexity and Uncertainty in Migration Studies. (Methodos). Springer.

Book Chapter

Prike, T., Higham, P., & Bijak, J. (2022). The boundaries of cognition and decision making. In Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography: Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography: Agency, Complexity and Uncertainty in Migration Studies (pp. 93-112). (Methodos Series ; Vol. 17). Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-83039-7_6

Conferences

Bijak, J., Higham, P., Hilton, J., Hinsch, M., Nurse, S., Prike, T., Reinhardt, O., Smith, P. W. F., & Uhrmacher, A. M. (2021). Modelling migration: Decisions, processes and outcomes. In K-H. Bae, B. Feng, S. Kim, S. Lazarova-Molnar, Z. Zheng, T. Roeder, & R. Thiesing (Eds.), 2020 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC) (pp. 2613-2624). [9384072] IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/WSC48552.2020.9384072
Bijak, J., Grow, A., Higham, P., Hilton, J., Hinsch, M., Lipscombe, K., Nurse, S., Prike, T., Reinhardt, O., Smith, P. W. F., & Uhrmacher, A. (Accepted/In press). Teaching a modelling process: Reflections from an online course. In Proceedings of the 2021 Winter Simulation Conference IEEE.

Mr Toby Prike
Social Statistics & Demography Social Sciences University of Southampton Southampton SO17 1BJ United Kingdom

Room Number : 58/2053

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