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The University of Southampton

Research project: ITRC MISTRAL – Transport Research

Currently Active: 

MISTRAL is phase 2 of the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC), expanding the scale and reach of the NISMOD (National Infrastructure Model) system.

ITRC’s vision is for complex infrastructure decisions to be guided by systems analysis. Using the pioneering tools developed by the ITRC team, decision-makers are able to visualise and assess how all of their infrastructure systems are performing, help to pinpoint vulnerabilities and quantify the risks of failure. The tools are capable of performing ‘what-if’ analysis of proposed investments and exploring the effects of future uncertainties, such as population growth, new technologies and climate change. A key feature of the ITRC projects has been a high level of engagement with industry and government, and the modelling tools produced as part of ITRC and MISTRAL have been used by the National Infrastructure Commission to inform their National Needs Assessment.

Work at TRG is focusing on enhancing the transport models developed during ITRC phase 1 and developing novel transport models. This centres on building an integrated framework covering capacity, demand and risk, and incorporating a network-based representation of the British transport system. The scope of the model will also be extended to cover key international linkages. Tasks include generating a base year OD matrix for Great Britain, parameterising transport interventions and policies for inclusion in the model using the best available evidence, constructing a flexible network-based national transport model, developing meta-models or emulators to represent local transport within this model, and integrating risk and resilience modelling into the wider framework.

TRG staff members are also involved in other MISTRAL work, together with researchers from the University of Oxford, and in collaboration with the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS), aiming to adapt and apply the systems-of-systems infrastructure assessment capabilities and analysis tools for the application of evidence-based decision making in other international contexts, including developing countries, regions undergoing post-conflict or post-disaster recovery, and rapidly developing city-states. The initial focus was a ‘fast-track’ assessment of the infrastructure needs of Palestine, and a second assessment is now being undertaken for Curacao.

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Associated research themes


Related research groups

Transportation Group
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