Answers to Worksheet 2 problems

1. 0.851, 0.139

2. 0.509

3. 0.422

4. 0.9905=99.05%

5 a) 1 - p^2
b) 1 - 4p^3 + 3p^4
c) 1/3 < p < 1

6. 0.04539

7. 1.9% Professors are faulty.
Posterior probability that a Professor was made in England given that it was found to be faulty is 0.4210, i.e. 42.10%.