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The University of Southampton
Bayesian Agent-based Population Studies

Workshop on Uncertainty and Complexity of Migration held in London

Published: 22 November 2018
Opening of the workshop
Opening of the workshop

The workshop on Uncertainty and Complexity of Migration, organised as part of the project dissemination and outreach activities, took place in London, at the British Academy, on 20–21 November 2018.

The workshop was organised as a part of the ERC project on Bayesian Agent-based Population Studies, under the auspices and with support of the International Union for the Scientific Study of Populations (IUSSP). Organisational support has been kindly provided by the ESRC Centre for Population Change. The evening public lecture on 20 November was organised and sponsored by the University of Southampton.

The workshop aimed to summarise the state of the art in addressing the complexity and uncertainty of migration through formal modelling, and to discuss the best ways for modelling migration, directions for data collection, and conditions for making the modelling useful for policy support. In total, 36 participants representing both academic and policy spheres took part in the discussions.

The discussions carried out throughout the workshop concluded with a set of key recommendations for the future migration data collection and modelling endeavours.

More details about the meeting, including background information and a full report are available on the workshop website.


To help prepare for unexpected migration events, and to aid evidence-based migration policy, we need to acknowledge that migration processes are complex and uncertain. Research on migration has to reflect that.

Jakub Bijak - Professor of Statistical Demography, project lead

Notes for editors

The workshop was funded by the European Research Council (ERC) grant "Bayesian Agent-based Population Studies" under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (grant n° ERC-CoG-2016-725232) for 2017-2021. The project is carried out by the University of Southampton, UK, and the University of Rostock, Germany.

The support of the International Union for the Scientific Study of Populations has been provided within the remit of the IUSSP Panel on Microsimulation and Agent-Based Modelling in Demography.

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