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The University of Southampton
Economic, Social and Political Sciences

Institute for Risk and Uncertainty & vague and imprecise information Seminar

Social Statistics and Demography
16 May 2013
Building 54 room 8031 (8C)

Event details

Statistics Research Thursday Seminar Series

Risk and uncertainties are of rapidly growing concern and importance in the light of a quickly growing complexity and changes in our natural and technical environment, economy and society. It has become obvious that approaches to deal with risk and uncertainties in a complex environment can only be effective and efficient when we embark on multi-disciplinary concepts to build our models most realistically. Failure to consider phenomena in such a broad manner can easily lead to unexpected collapse of various natures and to disasters. This seminar provides insight in the multi-disciplinary approaches pursued in the Institute for Risk & Uncertainty in the University of Liverpool. Then, some engineering-mathematical aspects of uncertainty quantification are discussed in the context of vague and imprecise information. Concepts of imprecise probabilities are explained and demonstrated by means of examples. Focus is on fuzzy probabilities. It is illustrated how the model features can be utilised in practical applications, where critical decisions have to be derived.

Speaker information

Michael Beer , University of Liverpool - Institute for Risk and Uncertainty. Michael Beer is Professor of Uncertainty in Engineering and Director of the Institute for Risk & Uncertainty in the University of Liverpool. He graduated with a doctoral degree in Civil Engineering from the Technische Universit�t Dresden, Germany. As a Feodor-Lynen Fellow of the Alexander von Humboldt-Foundation Dr. Beer pursued research at Rice University together with Professor Pol D. Spanos. From 2007 to 2011 he worked as an Assistant Professor in the Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, National University of Singapore. His research is focused on non-traditional uncertainty models in engineering with emphasis on reliability analysis and on robust design. Dr. Beer is a Member of ASME, Charter Member of the ASCE Engineering Mechanics Institute, Member of the European Association for Structural Dynamics, Member of the European Safety and Reliability Association, Member of IACM, Associate Editor of the International Journal of Reliability and Safety, as well as Member of the Editorial Boards of Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics, Computers & Structures and Structural Safety.\"

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