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The University of Southampton
Economic, Social and Political Sciences

A Bayesian approach to deriving population estimates from multiple datasets Seminar

Social Statistics and Demography
20 June 2014
Building 58, room 1007

For more information regarding this seminar, please telephone Centre for Population Change - Mel Morgan – Centre Administrator on 023280594080 or email .

Event details

Centre for Population Change seminar

Many countries are looking for new ways to exploit administrative data for population estimation. The talk will describe a Bayesian approach being developed at Statistics New Zealand. It will include an application to estimating population by age and sex in 66 regions of New Zealand. The approach has some nice features. There is no need to link datasets at the individual level. Random variation in demographic processes and measurement are dealt with naturally. Evaluations and weights for the datasets emerge automatically out of the estimation process. However, as the application demonstrates, population estimation is still difficult when the available datasets all have similar flaws.

Speaker information

Dr John Bryant , Statistics New Zealand. Senior Researcher

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