Understanding Population Change

Module overview

This module is an introduction to the substantive concepts of demography, how populations change and grow or shrink, and the transitions that populations make in various stages of their development. An introduction to the past, present and future world population trends will be followed by a discussion on importance and implications of age structures, population momentum and population growth. The theoretical underpinnings of demography will be also covered, including the demographic transition, the fertility transition, proximate determinants of fertility, mortality, epidemiological and health transitions, "lowest-low" fertility, changing family structures, the second demographic transition and the mobility transition. Theories and evidence on preconditions and onset of transitions in different contexts, as well as on why and how transitions happen, will be provided.

Learning and Teaching

Teaching and learning methods

Teaching will be via 22 tutor-led lectures and 8 seminars with discussions. Learning activities will include learning in lectures, leading and discussing issues during seminars, writing essays on selected demographic issues, and independent study. The format of the seminars is that two to three students will present key issues from previously assigned readings, which will be followed by a general discussion. Non-presenting students will be expected to have read at least two of the suggested readings prior to the seminar and to actively contribute to the seminar in the form of questions, comments and discussion.

Study time
Type	Hours
Independent Study	120
Tutorial	8
Lecture	22
Total study time	150

Resources & Reading list

General Resources

Other. Access to text books, journal articles, web sites and other sources of related information. Other than that, no special resources required for this module.

Journal Articles

Christensen, K., Doblhammer, G., Rau, R., & Vaupel, J. W. (2009). Ageing populations: the challenges ahead.. , The Lancet, 374(9696), 1196-1208.

Bongaarts J (1978). A framework for analyzing the proximate determinants of fertility. Population and Development Review, 4(1), pp. 105-132.

McKeown T & Brown RG (1972). An Interpretation of the Modern Rise of Population in Europe. Population Studies, Vol. 26(No. 3), pp. 345-382.

OmranAR (1971). The Epidemiological Transition: A Theory of the Epidemiology of Population Change. The Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly, 49(4), pp. 509-538.

Textbooks

Harper, S. (2016). How Population Change Will Transform Our World.. Oxford University Press..

De Haas, H. et al (2019). The Age of Migration: International Population Movements in the Modern World. Methuen.

McFalls J.A. (2007). Population: a lively introduction.

McFalls JA (2007). Population: a lively introduction.

Livi-Bacci, M. (2006). A Concise History of World Population. Wiley-Blackwell..

Assessment

Summative

This is how we’ll formally assess what you have learned in this module.

Breakdown
Method	Percentage contribution
Essay	50%
Essay	50%

Referral

This is how we’ll assess you if you don’t meet the criteria to pass this module.

Breakdown
Method	Percentage contribution
Essay	100%

Repeat

An internal repeat is where you take all of your modules again, including any you passed. An external repeat is where you only re-take the modules you failed.

Breakdown
Method	Percentage contribution
Essay	100%

Repeat Information

Repeat type: Internal & External