Postgraduate research project

Data-driven Density Modelling (D3M) through machine learning for satellite orbit prediction

Funding
Fully funded (UK only)
Type of degree
Doctor of Philosophy
Entry requirements
First-class Masters degree View full entry requirements
Faculty graduate school
Faculty of Engineering and Physical Sciences
Closing date

About the project

This project will use machine learning and big data techniques to develop real-time satellite orbit predictions for safer, smarter space traffic management. It aims to integrate high-precision laser ranging satellite tracking data to continuously update the biggest unknown, atmospheric density. This can improve tracking accuracy by up to an order of magnitude.

The rise of satellite mega-constellations and improved tracking systems has led to an explosion of precise satellite data. This project offers the chance to help solve one of the biggest challenges in modern space operations: managing an increasingly congested low Earth orbit (LEO) environment.

Working with leading academics and our industry partner Lumi Space, you will develop a world-class, high-precision orbit prediction model. The goal is to reduce false collision alerts and enable satellite operators to act decisively on real threats. This is critical for safe and efficient space traffic management.

At the heart of the project is a responsive, high-fidelity atmospheric density model, continuously updated using real-time tracking data. You’ll address two main challenges:

  • model design: identifying and training a compact, accurate representation of atmospheric density using reduced-order models, time series methods, and machine learning approaches such as physics-informed neural networks
  • real-time data assimilation: using sequential filtering techniques, such as high-order Kalman filters, to fuse live tracking data into model-predictive control for orbit forecasting

Throughout, you’ll work closely with Lumi Space, gaining valuable industrial experience and access to real satellite tracking data to validate your work.

In addition to the supervisory team at the University of Southampton, you will be supported by the following external supervisor: