Understanding Recent Fertility Trends in the UK and Improving Methodologies for Fertility Forecasting

Project overview

Staff

Lead researcher

Professor Ann Berrington

Professor-Demography&Social Statistics

Connect with Ann

Email: a.berrington@soton.ac.uk

Other researchers

Professor Jane Falkingham

VP International and Engagement

Connect with Jane

Email: j.c.falkingham@soton.ac.uk

Professor Jakub Bijak

Professor of Statistical Demography

Connect with Jakub

Email: j.bijak@soton.ac.uk

Collaborating research institutes, centres and groups

Our research is focussed on three themes: design and analysis of experiments, statistical modelling, and biostatistics. As part of the Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute (S3RI), we have close links with statisticians and stochastic modellers across the University, especially those in the Division of Social Statistics and Demography.

Research outputs

Microthesis: combining data sources to develop a fertility projection model

Joanne Ellison

, 2022 , London Mathematical Society Newsletter , 448

Type: letterEditorial

Effect of lockdowns on birth rates in the UK

Ann Berrington,

& Joanne Ellison

, 2022

Type: other

Forecasting: theory and practice

Fotios Petropoulos,

Daniele Apiletti,

Vassilios Assimakopoulos,

Mohamed Zied Babai,

Devon K. Barrow,

Souhaib Ben Taieb,

Christoph Bergmeir,

Ricardo J. Bessa,

Jakub Bijak,

John E. Boylan,

Jethro Browell,

Claudio Carnevale,

Jennifer L. Castle,

Pasquale Cirillo,

Michael P. Clements,

Clara Cordeiro,

Fernando Luiz Cyrino Oliveira,

Shari De Baets,

Alexander Dokumentov,

Joanne Ellison,

Piotr Fiszeder,

Philip Hans Franses,

David T. Frazier,

Michael Gilliland,

M. Sinan Gönül,

Paul Goodwin,

Luigi Grossi,

Yael Grushka-Cockayne,

Mariangela Guidolin,

Massimo Guidolin,

Ulrich Gunter,

Xiaojia Guo,

Renato Guseo,

Nigel Harvey,

David F. Hendry,

Ross Hollyman,

Tim Januschowski,

Jooyoung Jeon,

Victor Richmond R. Jose,

Yanfei Kang,

Anne B. Koehler,

Stephan Kolassa,

Nikolaos Kourentzes,

Sonia Leva,

Feng Li,

Konstantia Litsiou,

Spyros Makridakis,

Gael M. Martin,

Andrew B. Martinez,

Sheik Meeran,

Theodore Modis,

Konstantinos Nikolopoulos,

Dilek Önkal,

Alessia Paccagnini,

Anastasios Panagiotelis,

Ioannis Panapakidis,

Jose M. Pavía,

Manuela Pedio,

Diego J. Pedregal,

Pierre Pinson,

Patrícia Ramos,

David E. Rapach,

J. James Reade,

Bahman Rostami-Tabar,

Michał Rubaszek,

Georgios Sermpinis,

Han Lin Shang,

Evangelos Spiliotis,

Aris A. Syntetos,

Priyanga Dilini Talagala,

Thiyanga S. Talagala,

Len Tashman,

Dimitrios Thomakos,

Thordis Thorarinsdottir,

Ezio Todini,

Juan Ramón Trapero Arenas,

Xiaoqian Wang,

Robert L. Winkler,

Alisa Yusupova,

& Florian Ziel

, 2022 , International Journal of Forecasting , 38 (3) , 705--871

DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.11.001

Type: article

Scenario-Based Fertility Projections Incorporating Impacts of COVID-19

Ann Berrington,

Joanne Ellison,

Bernice Kuang,

Sindhu Vasireddy,

& Hill Kulu

, 2021 , Population, Space and Place

DOI: 10.1002/psp.2546